Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.341604 3.712979 4.115592 4.585641 5.120787 5.712726 6.419305
2025-05-04 2.851137 3.358132 3.947281 4.686958 5.597033 6.688192 8.107550
2025-05-11 2.521996 3.098762 3.803956 4.738770 5.959133 7.517266 9.688197
2025-05-18 2.280349 2.897616 3.683706 4.772862 6.266090 8.276177 11.246956
2025-05-25 2.030235 2.649734 3.464829 4.635410 6.306199 8.656744 12.308933
2025-06-01 1.855795 2.480179 3.325939 4.580436 6.437902 9.159633 13.591485
2025-06-08 1.717968 2.345330 3.217687 4.550243 6.590977 9.696662 14.982403
2025-06-15 1.655269 2.308509 3.241184 4.709179 7.036701 10.721179 17.291597
2025-06-22 1.552236 2.203626 3.154436 4.689224 7.195569 11.299899 18.922994
2025-06-29 1.454083 2.097655 3.056047 4.639129 7.295562 11.784872 20.448368
2025-07-06 1.322116 1.931091 2.852162 4.401222 7.056740 11.658045 20.814404
2025-07-13 1.263163 1.872426 2.811185 4.424493 7.262601 12.332423 22.809937
2025-07-20 1.221418 1.839278 2.810365 4.518559 7.609189 13.317618 25.620553
2025-07-27 1.181057 1.805486 2.805778 4.605425 7.951892 14.339431 28.694191
2025-08-03 1.136721 1.761950 2.781295 4.654008 8.226775 15.261507 31.716634
2025-08-10 1.093264 1.716764 2.750265 4.687010 8.473464 16.155398 34.839547
2025-08-17 1.024883 1.625487 2.633775 4.552419 8.375479 16.315550 36.233286
2025-08-24 0.975346 1.563279 2.563682 4.498601 8.433369 16.814530 38.557797
2025-08-31 0.933389 1.511658 2.508831 4.469045 8.537321 17.426514 41.291799
2025-09-07 0.921957 1.512477 2.547786 4.624609 9.046743 19.026321 47.023081
2025-09-14 0.886077 1.467856 2.500762 4.605078 9.174913 19.749432 50.456548
2025-09-21 0.848592 1.418325 2.441562 4.556048 9.232352 20.308512 53.532697
2025-09-28 0.789308 1.326437 2.297945 4.323165 8.852684 19.737562 53.057303